@sobakaeth
Who’s overperforming the Premier League more than anyone else right now? Aston Villa — by a huge margin.
Over a 13-match span, Unai Emery’s team has collected 24 points from an expected 13.5 — an overperformance of +10.5 points.
For comparison, the second-best team in this metric, Sunderland, sits at +7.4. Everyone else is somewhere around two or three.
One of the reasons behind Villa’s surge isn’t just the quality of their football but their unique long-shot efficiency. They’ve pushed it to near perfection. After 13 matchdays, they already have nine goals from outside the box. If they keep up this pace, they’ll finish the season with 26 long-range goals.
The Premier League record belongs to Chelsea 2006/07 with 23 goals from outside the box. Villa are currently ahead of that pace.
Their average shot distance is 14.9 meters, the longest in the league. Villa deliberately take long shots, and right now they’re getting incredible value out of that strategy.
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