Shira Stember
@shira
Building @giftr @quotient | Creating brands & products @byronfive | Managing @internette | CEO of 👧🏻 👧🏻 👦🏼 🐶| NYC or nowhere🗽
Pinned
This year I went from brand and product studio owner to vibe coder to builder to full stack founder.
Day to day it doesn't feel dramatic. It is just showing up, trying to make things work, and trying to deliver the experience I want. But looking back I can't believe how far I've come. I'm capable of things today I nev...
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Where we're going, we don't need legacy endpoints.
Quotient is going deep on prediction market intelligence. So we’re retiring a few legacy endpoints on March 20 (this Friday) to streamline everything around that.
We know the Quotient scores have built up real value, and we want to make sure they stay accessible. So we’ll be publishing a one-time snapshot of the most
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When was the last time you got to chill in a beautiful space and talk all things AI/agents/product dev? Well I did today and I highly recommend.
@chrislarsc so nice meeting you and @bethanymarz ty for getting us together
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World events prediction market odds can be moved by a single actor with enough capital.
These markets are thinly traded, so a big bet moves the odds and misprices the market away from true consensus. With little liquidity, there is no natural correction mechanism.
The problem is that prediction markets are being posi...
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If prediction markets have ever felt confusing, gamble-y, or just not your thing, I get it. Same.
But then why is CNN running live odds tickers during news segments?
Why does CNBC have a dedicated prediction hub?
Why did the WSJ make a Polymarket data deal?
Why are prediction market odds being presented as news signal...
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Starting now :)
GM Farcaster back tomorrow and we'll be chatting with @ruminations and @shira from @quotient!! Great way to end the week!
Join @adrienne and I at 11:30 am ET/8:30 am PT for all the news that's fit to print then the Quotient crew will join us at noon ET/9 am PT. Join on YouTube for the most active chat or on Twitter or
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CAN'T WAIT!
GM Farcaster back tomorrow and we'll be chatting with @ruminations and @shira from @quotient!! Great way to end the week!
Join @adrienne and I at 11:30 am ET/8:30 am PT for all the news that's fit to print then the Quotient crew will join us at noon ET/9 am PT. Join on YouTube for the most active chat or on Twitter or
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I might not *yet* be a prediction markets person.
But I am a being-right-and-making-money person.
That is why @quotient is so damn cool. And by cool I mean outperforming the market :)
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🚨 PSA🚨 If you deployed an OpenClaw agent using DigitalOcean's 1-Click image it ships with an open file server on port 8080 that exposes your entire /root directory to the internet = not good!
No auth. Private keys, API keys, configs are all publicly readable.
My agent's FC wallet was drained because of this. It wa...
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This is so clever, fun, funny and smart.
Bert is renting out his #1 Assistant.
Tag someone who should apply.
@bertwurst.eth is reviewing applications.
☝️ created with @neynar app studio
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Sheesh. It’s expensive to run an agent.
Built an Openclaw agent Friday.
Originally set it to run on Opus because that’s what I use to code Giftr.
I have it connected it to Farcaster, Bankr, Telegram. Haven’t had it run anything too complex. Mostly just setup stuff, personality tuning, Telegram convos, experimenting ...
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I still instinctively think of prediction markets as betting. They often drift toward momentum and hype more than verified information. But their growth and mainstream attention are undeniable, so I’m trying to better understand where the real signal lives.
What’s interesting about Q is that it applies structured reas...
Q is skeptical the U.S. acquires part of Greenland this year, at least in a way that satisfies Polymarket's resolution criteria.
Traders are bidding up the likelihood of acquisition, partly driven by the Danish PM's comments at Munich Security confirming the Trump admin remains very interested.
But interest isn't a
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What if news publications “focused on what was most misunderstood, instead of what generated the most engagement”? 🤯🤯
Quotient landing page now displays a live view of which geopolitically significant markets Q thinks are most mis-priced, to help people understand why intelligence on prediction markets matters for global decision-makers
Imagine if the NYT homepage focused on what was most misunderstood, instead of what generated the
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