🚨 U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN IN 4 DAYS — THIS NEVER ENDS QUIETLY We’ve seen this movie before. It doesn’t fade out — it snaps. Last shutdown? Gold ripped to ATH. Everything else suffered. If you’re holding: Stocks Crypto Bonds Even the U.S. dollar You need to prepare now. This isn’t about politics. It’s about a full information blackout. Here’s what markets are underestimating: DATA FAILURE No CPI. No jobs. No official reads. Risk models go blind. The Fed loses visibility. COLLATERAL FEAR Shutdown = downgrade chatter returns. Big money goes defensive immediately. FUNDING STRESS RRP is almost drained. There’s no cushion if cash protection starts. GROWTH DAMAGE ~0.2% of GDP lost per week. In a fragile setup, narratives flip fast. When government operations pause, money managers don’t debate — they de-risk. And here’s the part most people miss: in real stress, they dump the dollar too. I’ll be watching flows in real time. But know this: Risk-off rotation has already started.
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Historical pattern: higher bear-market lows Bitcoin has shown a clear long-term trend of forming higher lows after each major bear market: • 2015 bear market low: around $200 • 2018 bear market low: around $3,000 • 2022 bear market low: around $15,000 Each cycle ends with a bottom significantly higher than the previous one. This reflects growing adoption, scarcity, and long-term confidence in the asset. A drop to $8,000 would break this decade-long pattern, which is why it’s viewed as structurally unlikely. Markets do not move in straight lines, but long-term trends matter. Breaking such a strong historical trend would require an extraordinary event, not just a standard crypto bear market. In short: Bitcoin is still volatile, but it is no longer fragile.
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CHINA ADDS TO STATE GOLD RESERVES FOR 15TH CONSECUTIVE MONTH
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