shahin (shahin92)

Hi

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Trend ETH/USDT Macro: Downtrend. Internal: Bear flag under 2,060–2,100. Momentum still bearish. Liquidity Equal highs (EQH) around 2,100 taken. Sell-side liquidity swept near 1,880–1,900. Next major sell-side pool below 1,770. Supply Zones 2,050–2,100 = intraday supply. 2,275 = strong 4H supply. 2,590–2,640 = equilibrium zone. Above 2,818 shifts higher timeframe narrative. Demand Zones 1,919 = weak intraday support. 1,770–1,700 = strong discount demand. Below 1,700 opens acceleration. Premium/Discount Price trading in discount of recent range. Still bearish because structure not broken. Discount alone is not buy confirmation. Momentum Impulsive drops. Corrective bounces. Sellers in control. Scenarios 1. Bearish continuation: Rejection at 2,000–2,060. Break 1,900 cleanly. Target 1,770. 2. Short-term bounce: Hold above 1,900. Break and close above 2,100. Target 2,275 supply.

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ETH/USDT • Market structure is bearish. Clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. • Multiple BOS to the downside confirm strong sell-side control. • Price is reacting after a sell-side liquidity sweep near the discount zone. • Current bounce looks like a relief pullback, not a trend reversal. • Price is still below key equilibrium → bearish bias remains. • Nearest resistance: 2,275 – 2,366 (prior demand turned supply). • This zone aligns with a bearish order block. • Expect mitigation → rejection if sellers defend. • Bullish continuation only if price reclaims and holds above 2,366. • Failure here opens path back to 1,920 liquidity and possibly deeper discount.

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ETHUSD • Market structure: Clear bearish order flow. • Range context: Price has impulsively displaced from Equilibrium → Discount, breaking PDL with strong momentum = sell-side liquidity raid + acceptance below value. • Current reaction: Bounce from Weak Low / Discount (≈ 2,100–2,250) looks corrective, not impulsive → likely short-covering. • Key supply: • 2,700–2,830 (EQ) = first mitigation zone • 3,100–3,350 (Premium / Strong High) = major HTF supply, ideal sell zone • Bias: Bearish unless daily close reclaims EQ (≈ 2,830). Failure below EQ favors continuation lower. • Downside targets: 2,080 → sub-2,000 liquidity if EQ rejection holds. • Invalidation: Sustained D1 close above 3,350 flips structure neutral → bullish. Playbook: Wait for pullback into EQ or Premium, look for LTF CHOCH → short. Avoid longing until structure repairs.

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