politics

canada

This is so insane, can't believe what I'm seeing!

For those who don't pay attention to Canadian politics, we recently went through what is likely one of the biggest polling shifts in the history of democracy. The Conservative party fell from a >99% chance of winning to a ~10% chance of winning.

The CPC? You mean the COLLAPSE PARTY OF CANADA? 🫵😹

Computer Scientist who just thinks onchain is neat. /formative

The real takeaway here is 338Canada doesn’t know how to calibrate uncertainty.

Graphing those chances:
https://warpcast.com/jarrettr/0xe642743d

Building products onchain 🌐 | magma Fellow | Kernel Fellow | bringing football onchain at /thefalsenine

1. Trudeau resigning.
2. Anti-Trump sentiment and conservatives being seen as Trump sympathizers.