@ryuhara.eth

🚨 Why projects built from testnet almost always fail. Read this before you ape. This is not just about @monad 's projects. From Layer 1 to Layer 2, across almost every blockchain, the majority of projects that start from testnet end up failing once they hit mainnet. Here is why. 1️⃣ First, most testnet projects are just forks. They copy code from big existing protocols. No core tech. No real innovation. No unique business model. You see the same things over and over again: DEX, launchpad, lending... They fork the code and spend most of their time farming community hype instead of building real value. 2️⃣ Second, they are underfunded and cannot compete. Most testnet projects have very limited capital. When a chain launches mainnet, big multichain protocols with serious VC backing come in fast. These new projects cannot compete on volume, TVL, liquidity, or incentives. All they have is a small community. After a few months, they get buried under dozens or even hundreds of new mainnet projects. 3️⃣ Third, their “community” is mostly airdrop hunters. Let’s be honest. Most users on testnet are there for one reason: airdrop farming. They use the dapp hoping for tokens at TGE. They do not plan to hold long term. They just want to dump and take profit. After TGE, this community disappears. Many teams say they have a strong community, but in reality they only have a list of airdrop hunters. 4️⃣ Fourth, the team is already exhausted and wants liquidity. Many testnets last one to two years. Projects like $MON have been grinding for a very long time. By the time mainnet arrives, the team is tired. They use the hype cycle to launch a public IDO and cash out the time, effort, and money they invested. If the IDO succeeds, most of that money is split internally. Only a small part goes back into the product. The community gets freshly minted tokens, long vesting schedules, and hopium that the token will 10x or 100x. There is an even darker pattern. Some teams are very good at marketing. They fork a product, build on a promising testnet, grow hype, launch an IDO at mainnet, then slowly rug over time. This cycle repeats on every new chain. And people keep losing money to the same playbook. That is why most projects built from testnet fail. Not because the chain is bad. But because the incentives are broken.

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