@rpcnomad
BTC bullish scenario in my head:
The pre-FOMC shakeout already swept the lows around $87k. If price can reclaim and hold above ~$92k, a push toward $100k over the next 1–2 weeks isn’t crazy especially if the Fed’s easing financial conditions (slowing QT, cutting rates, expanding liquidity) and risk gets a bid.
Invalidation is clean: don’t lose $86k. And for the “up-only” version to work, BTC needs to stay solid above $92k.