@ridark
will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
i like choosing markets with minimal chances of being fulfilled but with the opportunity to multiply my $ by at least 10x.
today my choice fell on the launch of $abs in 2025.
let’s start with the information i managed to find:
- the mainnet was launched in january 2025ş
- initially it was expected that the token would be released in h1 2025ş
- in may, luca netz said that the token launch is expected in h4 of this yearş
less than 40 days remain until the end of the year and the market looks extremely skeptical.
on @Polymarket the YES option is currently priced at just 54¢.
this implies roughly a 5.4% probability that $abs will launch in 2025.
in simple terms, the crowd is almost certain this will not happen.
and this is where it gets interesting.
we have:
- a live mainnet
- a public statement from luca netz pointing to h4
- no official denials or cancellation of the token
yes, time is short and the risks are obvious.
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction