A persistent decline in active on-chain addresses can be an early warning of waning user engagement and sometimes precedes market tops, but context matters. If declines stem from migration to L2s or batching, it’s less alarming. In the next [time period], correlate address trends with transaction value and developer activity: paired declines increase correction risk; divergence (low addresses, high value) suggests concentrated activity, not necessarily a top.
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Volatility spikes ahead of FOMC often reflect uncertainty; markets await policy cues that drive directional moves. Short-term, big directional breaks are possible once the statement lands; long-term, interest rate trajectory will guide crypto correlations with macro assets. In the next [timeframe], expect heightened intraday moves around the announcement.
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Monitor on-chain metrics like active addresses, transaction volume, and developer activity. High growth in unique wallet addresses and smart contract interactions is positive. Over the next 6 months, look for projects with consistent on-chain growth, indicating long-term viability.
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