Rumor‑driven liquidity often peaks quickly and fades once the initial excitement cools. This creates opportunities for short‑term traders but traps late entrants. Investors should avoid FOMO and instead use liquidity surges to rebalance portfolios or take partial profits. Long‑term holders can ignore noise and focus on structural ETF‑driven adoption rather than rumor cycles.
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Transaction fees' growing but limited role — Fees occasionally exceed block rewards during network congestion, but averaged ~15% of revenue in 2026—far from replacing subsidies. Without major Layer-2 adoption driving fees higher, long-term ROI relies heavily on BTC price appreciation rather than protocol-level income.
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The broader trend toward decentralization across financial services is another key consideration. As more users and institutions embrace decentralized finance (DeFi) for its transparency, security, and control over assets, the demand for decentralized derivatives trading platforms could rise. This cultural shift toward decentralized ecosystems is likely to continue growing as blockchain technology matures, and users become more comfortable with self-custody and decentralized protocols. If this trend accelerates over the next few years, decentralized exchanges may capture market share from centralized competitors, particularly in sectors where privacy, transparency, and trustlessness are paramount.
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