@rakesh100
Polymarket now shows only 55% chance that @zama FDV goes above $800M just 1 day after listing.
A few days ago, this was 80%+ that’s a sharp drop.
So what changed? 👇
1️⃣ Possible reasons: Market cooling after initial hype
2️⃣ Traders reassessing short-term valuation vs long-term tech
3️⃣ More supply-side awareness (unlock fears, allocation clarity)
4️⃣ Rotation away from high-FDV launches
5️⃣ Polymarket often reflects sentiment faster than CT timelines
This doesn’t mean Zama is weak it means expectations are getting more realistic.
Zama still has: • Real FHE tech (not vapor)
• Strong research moat
• Clear infra narrative for encrypted DeFi & confidential apps
But price discovery ≠ tech quality.
💰 My personal participation range:
I’d be comfortable around $300M–$400M FDV.
That’s where risk/reward feels for a long-term bet.
Curious to see how the zama sealed bid dutch auction plays out gZama.
#ZamaCreatorProgram #Zama #FHE #CryptoMarkets