@penzlik
Sept 7-25: six extinction-scale AI warnings, Geneva to NBC. Anthropic's IPO paperwork spends ~80 of 261 pages on risk.
Anthropic pre-IPO perp: ~1,998 (~$2T implied), -2% in 24h. Record 2,211 on Sept 9, the day Hubinger posted his >10% (personal estimate). Causation? Not claiming.
Gates never said "soon". Amodei called it a worry. Perps are cash-settled, zero equity. Priced the slowdown yet, or just the IPO date?