Overtime.io | Growth Lead
48 Followers
Hello world. @overtimemarkets growth guy here. Few seem to understand where prediction markets space is heading and why @overtimemarkets is perfectly positioned. It all comes down to winning the SPORTS prediction markets game. Here’s the playbook ↓ THE PROBLEM WITH CLOBs AND SPORTS CLOB-based sports prediction markets can’t scale. Each bet type = 2 order books, 4 sides of liquidity seeded by market makers. That’s heavy, slow, and non-composable. Can't give the people what they want. People want constant on-demand liquidity and the ability to place leveraged parlays across multiple bets for a shot at winning big. They want access to thousands of sports, leagues, bet types, and props, especially when the user base is global. THE OVERTIME APPROACH (the right approach) Overtime built a custom oracle-priced standalone AMM that manages liquidity per-unit-of-risk across thousands of markets, all from one counterparty pool. When one side runs dry for a certain market, users taking the opposite side free up AMM liquidity and reopen the risk caps. As users trade, the system naturally shifts from Pool-vs-Peer to Peer-vs-Peer, keeping liquidity available on-demand at fixed prices at all times. Elegant. Efficient. Very demure. Proof it works is that this AMM has already collateralized >$400M in organic flow with only six-figure utilization at peaks, while remaining net positive global PnL. Pricing has to be oracle-based, but it is secured by the same odds trusted by the offchain $100B+ industry. Heck, the same data is used by the best Polymarket market makers to fill their sports books. An OMEGA-efficient model for prediction markets market making! SCALING SUCCESSFULLY ENABLED? Let's be real. Sports markets are starting to dominate other markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. 1️⃣ They’re the most efficient to market-make → liquidity is deep. 2️⃣ Demand is 100x higher than exotic markets. Prediction markets are slowly evolving into new-age sportsbooks with a sprinkle of exotic markets. Overtime has been specializing in this vertical for four years with a completely different approach. Overtime's architecture enabled Overtime to layer advanced products on top which Polymarket and Kalshi can't: Parlays, SGPs, System Bets, Live Betting, Player Props, Futures, all collateralized by the same AMM and risk engine. Proudly building and perfecting an onchain liquidity and AMM layer for sports prediction markets since 2021. And it's fucking working. We are ready. At the bottom of it all, the core principle here is very simple for Overtime: the sports markets industry can and will be improved by rebuilding its foundation on @ethereum. A whitelabel global settlement engine bringing @ethereum fairness to a trillion-dollar industry? Yes, please.
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