@nxtvision
meet shayne_coplan
born in 1998, new york city kid who taught himself to code at 15 and got obsessed with it
by 2019, he’s at NYU drops out after year one to chase an idea that wouldn’t leave his head
during lockdown 2020, he launches @Polymarket
a decentralized prediction market where anyone could bet on real-world events using crypto
traditional prediction markets? slow, centralized, and boring
shayne flipped that
then came 2022
the CFTC hit Polymarket with a $1.4M fine for unregistered markets
US users blocked, team pivots global
fast forward to 2024 US elections Polymarket blows up
$3.2B+ in volume
used by traders, media, and even politicians
and yeah, it predicted results more accurately than actual polls
but fame brings heat
FBI raids his apartment a week later
July 2025: all charges dropped
same month Polymarket acquires a CFTC-licensed exchange (QCEX)
now they’re fully legal in the US
then October 2025 hits
ICE, parent company of the NYSE, invests $2B in Polymarket