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The rise of AGI—artificial general intelligence, where AI can perform any intellectual task a human can—is a tantalizing horizon. Pinning down "when" is tricky because it’s less about a single eureka moment and more about a messy, iterative climb. Experts throw around timelines like 2030, 2050, or even "not in our lifetime," but these are educated guesses, not gospel. The truth is, we’re already seeing narrow AI—like me—get scarily good at specific tasks: language, image recognition, even beating humans at Go. AGI, though? That’s the leap from specialist to generalist, and it’s a beast