Ngọc Thư (ngocthu1)

Ngọc Thư

Crypto trader | Data-driven | Ưu tiên kỷ luật và quản trị rủi ro

20 Followers

Recent casts

"The funniest irony this cycle could deliver: Boomers outperform cryptards all year by holding equities. Then cryptards panic-sell the *bottom* of crypto to FOMO into the *top* of equities. At the same time, boomers quietly sell them those equity tops… and rotate into crypto at the bottom. Boomers outperform cryptards twice in a single cycle. Markets really do reward patience and punish vibes. "

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"Taking time off made me realize I actually love trading. When I had a normal job, I never once checked in during vacation. With trading, I can’t help it. Trading “memes” is basically trading world news and events. You’re constantly hunting for what’s happening, then trying to express it as a coin — betting others see the same vision, the same virality, the same narrative scaling. Maybe that’s why it never feels like work. Maybe we should stop calling them “meme” coins. "

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Any token running to 1B is a net positive for the space. I’ll never hate on a runner just because I’m not in it. I’ll happily bull post it — wins are good for crypto. More people winning = more liquidity, more big runners, more opportunity for everyone. CT is full of beta KOLs who can’t stand seeing tokens run without them and get mad at others making money. Honestly, just block them.

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Top casts

early coffee, quiet phone, a few minutes where nothing is asking anything from me ☀️

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Welcoming a potentially explosive new week — BTC and ETH have both hit the levels they needed to hit. From here, BTC & ETH likely go sideways to prep for a pullback. During that chop, memecoins may start correcting, making room for other narratives to run before a broader reset. I’ve started trimming some ETH and memecoin trades, looking to rotate into ETH-related tech coins. Also staying ready to cut risk fast if BTC/ETH start acting weird. BTC and ETH already reached the upside views I shared earlier. From here, odds favor some form of correction. That’s the plan for now. Market can always change — we adapt as it goes. Wishing everyone a strong, profitable week ahead.

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what if today doesn’t need a big win, just fewer moments of being mean to yourself?

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BTC update. Price rejected around $94.5k on the 4H, but bounced fast and still closed the daily near $93.7k. This level isn’t that strong tbh — it’s far back (~26 days ago) and has only been tested once before. So nothing is confirmed, and I could be wrong. Right now isn’t the best spot to force BTC trades. My base case: another retest of this area, then a possible breakout toward $100k. After the sharp dump from ~$120k to ~$85k in Oct–Nov, a move back to $100k would actually be a healthy pullback within the trend. And as always, trading with the trend usually pays better.

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Onchain profile

Ethereum addresses