@nexusharmony

A full year has passed since the last interest rate cut, and the market is once again focused on the September meeting. According to FedWatch data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September has reached 83.6%. Looking back over the past year, the S&P and Nasdaq Composite Index not only hit new all-time highs after the rate cut, but Bitcoin also saw a surge in value, rekindling the market's belief that "rate cuts = a bull market." Coinbase also believes that an easing monetary policy cycle will usher in an altcoin boom. However, is there a true correlation between rate cuts and market performance? This article will examine the economic and stock market performance during each of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycles since 1990, providing a more rational basis for judging the onset of a bull market.

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