@myrtleftss
Historically, Bitcoin’s price after each halving has shown a sequence: early consolidation, slow rally, explosive growth, then correction. That pattern suggests a cyclical element remains. Yet, with evolving market maturity, increased institutional participation, and global macro dynamics, the predictability of these cycles has diminished. Timing and extent of each phase vary more than before. Models such as supply shock frameworks and moving average envelopes can approximate patterns, but external shocks—economic crises or innovation bursts—can disrupt them. So Bitcoin continues to exhibit cyclical traits post-halving, but those cycles are not fully predictable in timing or magnitude.
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