@m-j-r.eth
firstly, for the sake of transparency, I'm moderating /tokenomics, and welcome further discussion of onchain structure *and* stochastic dynamism around onchain structure that produces economic value.
secondly, I think there is a shrinking window to compete with siloed platforms adopting more dependence on monolithic intelligence. I don't know how long channels on Farcaster will remain, but regardless, any focus on trading as a first-class feature in good faith must be strongly denominated towards posterity.
in that spirit, market-making must follow social organizing, versus sentiment following price action. I anticipate prediction markets adopting positive-sum emission mechanics, and like with white whale trend, there will be more circulatory control. should any echo of friendtech manifest, I also think there should be exploration of easy-to-read, credible-to-write structure that Hashcash started, but with much more capable critic than underspecified contest/committee structure.
the reason this is important is that our ecosystem is dominating offline contests like the Golden Globes, and gambling is "second-fastest growing sector in GDP". we cannot afford a simplistic, extractive, and rigged model that simply advertises bets paying for bills. there must be protocols that reinforce a extensive meritocracy of stochastic edges outside of entertainment, and imho any intensive focus on IRL controversy like democratic elections will feed the same regulatory capture of tokenomics that we experience already. the public deserves cost-cutting signal, not cost-shifting noise.
thirdly, with the recent SocialFi cycle, I expect botted metrics and linear feeds to go extinct as the demography ages and the mass media commoditizes. there is opportunity for appending qualitative info to posts, like with the vague exodus to platforms such as substack. with the advancements in diffusion/segmentation, as well as the workplace adoption of HUD assistance, I think there is an underrated opportunity for "journeyman hivemind" as some extrinsic onchain incentive. we've definitely beyond the master/apprentice model, but have we really transcended guilds/unions in modern corporatism? there's alpha in that.
thank you for coming to my Fed talk.
https://x.com/seldon_seen/status/2012186775113097427?s=20