logonaut.eth π©πβ
@logonaut.eth
3862 Following
4790 Followers
1 reply
1 recast
1 reaction
1 reply
1 recast
1 reaction
1 reply
1 recast
1 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
2 replies
0 recast
4 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
I asked Claude Opus 4 for an analysis of risks to Israel, the occupied territories, and U.S. assets from nuclear strikes of various yields on Iranian targets, particularly in June.
I prompted Claude to examine academic and military research on such scenarios, determine if thereβs scientific consensus, and base its analysis on the most rigorous, evidence-based modeling publicly available.
From the executive summary Claude generated:
"Nuclear strikes on Iranian targets would create devastating transboundary contamination affecting the entire Middle East region. Based on atmospheric dispersion modeling and historical fallout data, even 'limited' strikes would contaminate Israel, Palestinian territories, and U.S. military installations across the Gulf region. June meteorological conditions would maximize downwind transport, creating an unprecedented humanitarian and military catastrophe." 2 replies
0 recast
5 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
2 replies
0 recast
6 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
1 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
1 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
My message that I sent to U.S. Senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz (both R-Texas), calibrated to try to appeal to their conservative, nationalist sensibilities:
Keep the U.S. military out of the Israel-Iran war. Any military "solution" would be far too costly in American blood and treasure for a nation that is already deeply in debt to foreign powers and which already struggles to meet its honor-bound obligation to care for its veterans and meet their physical and mental health needs arising from their military service.
Your president and party leader campaigned on a pledge to "make America great again," stating: "When I return to the White House, we will quickly restore stability in the Middle East, and we will return the world to peace.β
Americans don't want to become embroiled in yet another foreign war. We don't want the Netanyahu government dictating American foreign policy and use of military force β that is a projection of weakness, not strength, and the world will take notice. We are no one's lapdog. If you truly believe in an "America First" doctrine, you must vote NO on military intervention in the Israel-Iran war and do the hard work of brokering a lasting peace.
Iran has a relatively young population, most of whom loathe Khamenei and his autocratic security apparatus. They seek peace, prosperity, and normalization of relations with the U.S. and other Western nations, where many of them already have family ties via immigration. Don't unite them against the U.S. by attacking their homeland and enabling Israeli aggression. Khamenei and the rest of the geriatric old guard are already dying off naturally, and the youth are primed to rise to power and reform their country from within, as long as America doesn't repeat its past mistakes and radicalize them with death, injury, and destruction.
Show the people of Texas you truly love America and want it strong, secure, and prosperous: vote NO on war with Iran. 0 reply
1 recast
3 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
3 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
1 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions