@joyst
When short-term BTC holders exhibit extremely high profitability, historical patterns often show heightened risk of corrections. Overleveraged traders may liquidate positions during minor downturns, amplifying volatility. On-chain metrics like SPOR, funding rates, and exchange inflows help quantify potential pressure. While not a guaranteed signal, elevated short-term gains suggest market exuberance and possible retracement. Combining these indicators with macro context, derivative positioning, and LTH behavior provides a more nuanced risk assessment for short-term traders.
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