@jotyler
In NBA games, **effective field goal percentage (eFG%)** is the best predictor of victory. It adjusts for the value of three-pointers, reflecting offensive efficiency, and has the highest correlation with team win rates. Next are defensive efficiency (opponent points per 100 possessions) and net efficiency differential. In this game, the Raptors have superior defense (allowing 113.2 points), while the Bucks have a slightly stronger offense, but the Raptors are expected to win narrowly. (78 words)
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