Ivan (ialberquilla)

Ivan

31 Followers

Recent casts

Most "yield agents" do one thing: read the highest APY on screen and move your money there. That number is almost meaningless. APY moves — today's 9% is next week's 4%. And "5 vaults" isn't diversification if they all drop on the same bad day. Chasing the top number isn't a strategy. It's noise. So we built an agent that actually does the research. Give it a budget and a risk level. It reads the full history of every vault — historical average yield, how volatile it's been, how much is real vs incentives, whether TVL is leaving, and whether it actually beats its benchmark. Then it checks how the positions move together, so the allocation is genuinely diversified — ready to deposit in one click. A solid allocation built on real history beats chasing the top APY and rebalancing every week. And you only ever hold USDC. Buy into and sell out of any vault with it, whatever the underlying asset is. CCTP moves it across chains under the hood. Try it https://t.me/agent1tx_bot

  • 1 reply
  • 0 recasts
  • 0 reactions

I tested weekly stablecoin portfolios using the same public pool universe but different sizing rules across four yield buckets: Blue-chip, Medium, High, and Super-high. Conservative (55/30/15/0): $100,000 → $104,342 over 259 days, 6.17% annualized, 0.04% APY-path volatility. Balanced (25/35/30/10): $106,903, 9.86% annualized, 0.07% volatility. Yield-max (0/20/50/30 capped): $110,137, 14.58% annualized, 0.11% volatility. Global benchmark: $102,945. The useful lesson: stablecoin yield allocation is a position-sizing problem before it is an APY problem. Returns improved as the portfolio gave more room to High and capped Super-high pools. That does not mean the high-yield version is safer. Position sizing manages concentration risk and lets you choose the tradeoff deliberately. It does not remove smart-contract, credit, bridge, depeg, liquidity, gas, slippage, or execution risk.

  • 0 replies
  • 0 recasts
  • 0 reactions

Can asset allocation beat market timing in crypto? I tested a simple version of that question: no BTC timing rule, no move-to-cash signal, no macro overlay. Just rotate into the strongest non-BTC tokens on a fixed schedule and compare the result with BTC buy-and-hold. From October 2022 to May 2026, $10,000 in BTC became $38,347. The weekly top-5 strategy using 90-day momentum became $64,691. The weekly top-10 version with inverse-volatility weighting became $47,045. Both beat BTC without ever needing to decide whether crypto was in a bull market or bear market. The failure case matters more than the headline. A weekly top-10 strategy using only 7-day momentum became just $13,212. It looked more reactive, but it mostly captured noise. The caveat is drawdown. This was not a safer ride than BTC. The raw top-5 90-day strategy had a -79.82% max drawdown versus BTC's -49.63%. Even the inverse-volatility version still drew down -62.01%.

  • 0 replies
  • 0 recasts
  • 0 reactions

Top casts

Is the graphql API still working to get historical mint data? I see is shown now as legacy. If still works where can I find the endpoint?

  • 1 reply
  • 1 recast
  • 0 reactions

Check out what @tereth and me built at ETHOxford! A Frame to set up an order to buy an NFT at a specific price using frames transactions on @base.base.eth and triggering the execution on @Avax using @Chainlink automation and CCIP cross-chain messages. Do not send funds on Mainnet, just a test! https://eth-oxford.vercel.app/

  • 0 replies
  • 1 recast
  • 0 reactions

Highly recommend, he's a good person and has a lot of knowledge

  • 0 replies
  • 0 recasts
  • 0 reactions

Onchain profile

Ethereum addresses