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hongqijiu

@hongqigong

Amid 2025 year-end risk aversion, crypto markets faced a sharp leverage reset, with billions in liquidations wiping out over-leveraged positions and pushing BTC below $90K. Investment Potential: The deleveraging cleared speculative excess, creating a healthier foundation for sustainable rallies. Risk Factors: Cascading liquidations heightened short-term volatility and downside pressure. Market Outlook: Entering 2026 stronger—BTC has reclaimed $92K+, with positive funding rates, ETF inflows, and bottoming open interest signaling cautious risk-on revival and potential bullish momentum. Low-Risk Re-Entry Framework: Wait for stabilization above key supports (e.g., BTC $90K, 200-day MA). Confirm positive funding rates and rising OI. Enter spot/low-leverage (<3x) in blue-chips (BTC/ETH). Scale in gradually with tight stops. Allocate 20-30% to stablecoins for dry powder.
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