guanshijin

@guanshijin

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2 Followers

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I think Musk is a lot like Trump. When there is a failure, he looks to shift the blame and throw someone else under the bus. That's how I view this resignation of the X CEO. https://youtu.be/d1cgTPqNQ34

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For most the world, the US is too far, too expensive, too big and too dangerous to really enjoy. Spiking the fees won't do anything for tourism. The far east is so much better. As for Australia, the visa cost itself is too high to many to even start considering a visit. https://youtu.be/VP0Kh3NgH-s

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Elon's several key employees have resigned!!! He better focuses on running his companies where his talent is, and NOT running the USA! https://youtu.be/Ry1ZNRpmHns

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They deserve to be beaten

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Iran ceases, Israel Fires

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Is this the effect? Do you feel like you are hiding something?

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abeg007.degen.eth

Israel's Tel Aviv is under threat from Iran's 4th generation 'Haider Field Weapons'. When you see it...what u think? Photo: Iranian military and Reuters.

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Is Germany about to come out of the cage? Germany's industrial capacity can quickly build a combat-capable army. Will the United States gradually withdraw from Europe and focus on China? However, in order to survive, Israel has set the United States in the Middle East. No matter how powerful the opponent is, it is not afraid. It is different for pig teammates. Strong enemies are often disintegrated from the inside.

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Friedrich Merz is preparing Germany for what he called a “new reality,” in which conflicts and wars are becoming more frequent around the world. In the Chancellor’s government statement and the subsequent debates in the Bundestag, two wars dominated the agenda: Russia’s war against Ukraine and the conflict involving Israel and Iran. Merz reiterated his goal of building “the strongest conventional army in Europe” in Germany. Currently, with 180,000 soldiers, the Bundeswehr ranks fourth among NATO countries in Europe in terms of size, behind Turkey, Poland, and France. Regarding the threat from Russia, Merz said that President “Putin only understands the language of force” and mentioned that. At the same time, the Chancellor acknowledged that Berlin had long ignored the warnings from Eastern and Central European countries about “Russia’s imperialist policy,” but that Germans have now realized this “mistake,” and “there is no way back.”

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A few days later, it was said that the six giant bombs had no effect at all? No video footage was released after the bombing? Was the US just going through the motions?

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logonaut.eth 🎩🍖↑

White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt, citing an unnamed source identified only as "Everyone," disputed the damage assessment of Iranian nuclear sites contained in a leaked classified U.S. intelligence report. Leavitt stated: "Everyone knows what happens when you drop 14 30,000-pound bombs perfectly on their targets: total obliteration." https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/us/politics/iran-nuclear-sites.html

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A bunch of liars are fighting in a group. China and Pakistan can just watch the fun. Russia has verbally stated that there is no need to help Iran as long as the surrenderists are not killed.

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Notice the narrative now, US only delayed the Iran nuclear program by a few months. A tactic to manufacture consent to go back at it while Israel replenishes its defensive and offensive capabilities.

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Iran is too rebellious! Now I am afraid when I think about it. Fortunately, we only verbally support Iran. If we provide military aid to Iran, it will be embarrassing! On June 24, foreign media reported: Iran and Israel officially announced a ceasefire. This plot reversal caught us off guard! Think about it, Israel and Iran are fighting fiercely. If we support Iran, and now both sides suddenly announce a ceasefire, Iran and Israel will become brothers. What should the countries that provide military aid to Iran do? Is Iran only responsible for stirring up hatred? So not providing military aid to Iran is the most correct choice! Iran is too rebellious. It will seek peace if it can. It is used to being cowardly!

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Good Morning Happy Thursday

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Trump has reviewed attack plans for Iran but is holding off to see if Tehran steps back from its nuclear program, a person familiar with the matter told CNN. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu thanked Trump for “standing by our side” as Israel pushes ahead with its fight against Iran.

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Something that pro–US involvement pundits don't talk about: Iran's deterrence strategy relies on being a "hedgehog" for lack of a better term. Hedgehogs aren't predators. They can be taken down but not easily. And the predator will come out of the fight in massive pain. Roughly, IR's hierarchy of priorities: 1. Maintain the nuclear and missile programs (in that order) 2. Ensure regime survival 3. Inflict max pain – (1) isn’t existential yet. – Advocates for US involvement and the IR opposition think (2) is already under threat. (I disagree obviously.) – But if Iran does feel existentially threatened, it’ll activate (3). Max pain will look like: 1. Guerilla warfare from within the borders. Think Iraq’s Shia militias but x10. This'll prevent any boots on the ground to 'finish the job' and will reach out of the borders to inflict pain. 2. Closing the Strait of Hormuz. Massive oil shock. It'll last way than people currently expect. This'll be naval guerilla warfare in the drone age. Basically, Iraqi Shia insurgents meets Ukraine-style drones, but at sea. This is mainly unimaginable today the same way guerilla warfare in Iraq wasn't a concern during the invasion or even the first phase of that war. 3. Drones and ballistic hell across the region. Israel’s Iron Dome level of defense is only sustainable short-term — and that level of defense doesn’t exist anywhere else in the region. On the other hand, the IR stock pile isn't infinite and won't be replenishable if we get to this stage. Still doesn't mean this'll be easy. The max pain phase will drag far longer than the collapse of the regime if that ever comes. This is why it doesn't seem to me that "regime change" is a viability -- it'll just be *regime collapse* and max pain. Disclaimer: Putting this out because I don’t see it being discussed. It's not a statement of preference, just how I think the deterrence logic plays out from an IR perspective.

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Iran and Israel continue to trade strikes as President Donald Trump’s decision on whether the US would get involved looms large. The American president’s Situation Room meeting ended just a short while ago.

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The counter to this is that Iran could have — emphasis on could — built up such a massive ballistic missile arsenal and impenetrable latent nuclear weapons program that this in itself is almost as effective as a nuclear deterrent against Israel. The evidence of this is the unprecedented damage that their missiles have had on Israeli society and infrastructure, all of which has been reinforced by Israeli military efforts to censor the reporting on the seemingly large-scale damage of these missile barrages. Still, a functioning Iranian nuclear weapons program might have deterred this fighting from ever happening in the first place — or it could have actually led to nuclear war 🤷

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This led Mr Howells to represent himself at the Court of Appeal in London, using artificial intelligence to support his case. However, in March, the court dismissed his appeal, and he is now considering taking the matter to the European Court of Human Rights.

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