Geopolitics

I think Musk is a lot like Trump. When there is a failure, he looks to shift the blame and throw someone else under the bus. That's how I view this resignation of the X CEO.

I think Musk is a lot like Trump. When there is a failure, he looks to shift the blame and throw someone else under the bus. That's how I view this resignation of the X CEO.

https://youtu.be/d1cgTPqNQ34

For most the world, the US is too far, too expensive, too big and too dangerous to really enjoy. 
Spiking the fees won't do anything for tourism. The far east is so much better. 
As for Australia, the visa cost itself is too high to many to even start considering a visit.

For most the world, the US is too far, too expensive, too big and too dangerous to really enjoy. 
Spiking the fees won't do anything for tourism. The far east is so much better. 
As for Australia, the visa cost itself is too high to many to even start considering a visit.

https://youtu.be/VP0Kh3NgH-s

Elon's several key employees have resigned!!!  He better focuses on running his companies where his talent is, and NOT running the USA!

Elon's several key employees have resigned!!!  He better focuses on running his companies where his talent is, and NOT running the USA!

https://youtu.be/Ry1ZNRpmHns

I Took a Photo!

Good  Morning Family.

Happy thuraday everyone

ITAP

Something that pro–US involvement pundits don't talk about:

Iran's deterrence strategy relies on being a "hedgehog" for lack of a better term.

Hedgehogs aren't predators.
They can be taken down but not easily.
And the predator will come out of the fight in massive pain.

Roughly, IR's hierarchy of priorities:

1. Maintain the nuclear and missile programs (in that order)

2. Ensure regime survival

3. Inflict max pain

– (1) isn’t existential yet.
– Advocates for US involvement and the IR opposition think (2) is already under threat. (I disagree obviously.)
– But if Iran does feel existentially threatened, it’ll activate (3).

Max pain will look like:

1. Guerilla warfare from within the borders.
Think Iraq’s Shia militias but x10.
This'll prevent any boots on the ground to 'finish the job' and will reach out of the borders to inflict pain.

2. Closing the Strait of Hormuz.
Massive oil shock. It'll last way than people currently expect.
This'll be naval guerilla warfare in the drone age. Basically, Iraqi Shia insurgents meets Ukraine-style drones, but at sea.
This is mainly unimaginable today the same way guerilla warfare in Iraq wasn't a concern during the invasion or even the first phase of that war.

3. Drones and ballistic hell across the region.
Israel’s Iron Dome level of defense is only sustainable short-term — and that level of defense doesn’t exist anywhere else in the region. On the other hand, the IR stock pile isn't infinite and won't be replenishable if we get to this stage. Still doesn't mean this'll be easy.

The max pain phase will drag far longer than the collapse of the regime if that ever comes. 
This is why it doesn't seem to me that "regime change" is a viability -- it'll just be *regime collapse* and max pain.

Disclaimer:
Putting this out because I don’t see it being discussed. It's not a statement of preference, just how I think the deterrence logic plays out from an IR perspective.

Trump has reviewed attack plans for Iran but is holding off to see if Tehran steps back from its nuclear program, a person familiar with the matter told CNN.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu thanked Trump for “standing by our side” as Israel pushes ahead with its fight against Iran.

The counter to this is that Iran could have — emphasis on could — built up such a massive ballistic missile arsenal and impenetrable latent nuclear weapons program that this in itself is almost as effective as a nuclear deterrent against Israel. The evidence of this is the unprecedented damage that their missiles have had on Israeli society and infrastructure, all of which has been reinforced by Israeli military efforts to censor the reporting on the seemingly large-scale damage of these missile barrages. Still, a functioning Iranian nuclear weapons program might have deterred this fighting from ever happening in the first place — or it could have actually led to nuclear war 🤷

Iran and Israel continue to trade strikes as President Donald Trump’s decision on whether the US would get involved looms large. The American president’s Situation Room meeting ended just a short while ago.

Ethereum

This led Mr Howells to represent himself at the Court of Appeal in London, using artificial intelligence to support his case.

However, in March, the court dismissed his appeal, and he is now considering taking the matter to the European Court of Human Rights.

just me, my chopper hat, and my bff. 

wholesome vibes only 🔥💜

It was truly enjoyable to walk through these wheat fields in this clear weather.

Share beautiful English Song!!
Hope you love them!!

Share beautiful English Song!!
Hope you love them!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sX5_Y4dbn4

There will be many crypto-currencies 5 years from now and certainly the ones that work best will have the widest adoption.  A currency which maintains some stability day to day will win over one that fluctuates so wildly.  Even in my own personal experience selling bitcoin to an individual who was trying to actually use them (he wouldn't say what for) ... but his request to me was to offer the coins to him at a fixed rate.  The daily fluctuations in price messed up his business model when prices would change before he could complete the whole cycle of a deal.

Once the network is established then nodes will gain more from processing transactions. When all bitcoins are mined then transaction processing will be the only incentive to own a node. But this will continue to evolve the network to better hardware as transactors clamor to offer lower commisions using higher hash/watt equipment.

To have variable inflation/deflation (chosen by a few) as exists in current fiat money is absurd, akin to entrusting a 3 year old to look after a lollipop for you and expecting it to remain unlicked.

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guanshijin

@guanshijin