Grey (greygood)
704 Followers
Recent casts
Top casts
That awkward moment when you get into the van & there's no candy
- 8 replies
- 3 recasts
- 42 reactions
- 4 replies
- 4 recasts
- 12 reactions
๐พ๐๐ซ๐๐ก๐๐๐ง๐จ ๐ซ๐จ. ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฉ๐ค๐ง๐จ I have a mathematical model that estimates win probabilities independently of scores and betting odds. Iโll be doing the math during the live game. Right now I get ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฐ% ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฐ๐ฒ%, a small pre-game edge to Cleveland. A flip occurs when specific variables exceed a defined threshold, not when the score changes, so the model reverses before the scoreboard or ESPNโs win probability shifts. @bracky What odds do you have? I will cast results here โ
- 22 replies
- 0 recasts
- 33 reactions
- 2 replies
- 2 recasts
- 24 reactions