@goldx
✅ What looks weak / caution signals
1. Volatility is waking up again — the Volmex-derived BVIV for Bitcoin has broken above trend-resistance, indicating more turbulence ahead.
2. Key resistance around ~US$108,000 (roughly the 200-day EMA) is capping upside.
3. A breakdown below ~US$100,000 is viewed as a major negative trigger, with potential fall-backs to US$93,000 or lower (~US$85,000) being flagged.
4. On-chain and holder-behaviour signals show an increase in speculative/short‐term activity (STH/LTH ratio high) which may indicate weaker “foundation” for a rally.
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✅ What looks potentially positive
1. Analysts still project a possible upside if key resistance is broken: some forecasts have BTC rising toward US$114-130 k in a short window if momentum turns.
2. Because many of the bearish signals are already reflected in price/sentiment, if support holds tight there could be a rebound into the resistance zone.
3. Some support zones exist around ~US$101,000-US$96,000
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