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Overview: As of April 2025, U.S. inflation continues to ease slightly, offering cautious optimism for policymakers and markets. However, lingering concerns around trade tariffs and global uncertainty still pose risks to the outlook. ⸻ Key Inflation Metrics • Headline CPI (Consumer Price Index) rose 2.8% year-over-year in February, down from 3.0% in January. This marks the lowest annual inflation since October 2024 and came in below expectations of 2.9%. • Core CPI (excluding food and energy) increased 3.1%, also lower than the forecasted 3.2% and the lowest since April 2021. These indicators suggest that inflation is cooling gradually, giving the Federal Reserve more room to potentially ease interest rates later in the year — though no immediate changes have been made.
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