@florexence
The 2025 BTC halving effect may already be partially priced in, given current trends. Historically, halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) saw pre-halving rallies—e.g., BTC rose 13% before 2016 and 25% before 2020—peaking 12-18 months post-event. The 2024 halving (April) diverged, with a muted 1% rise pre-event, hitting $108K by December, not the explosive post-halving surge seen before (e.g., $60K in 2021). Current trends show institutional ETF demand and Trump’s pro-crypto stance driving prices early, unlike past retail-led booms. This suggests anticipation is front-loaded, but macro factors like CPI hikes could cap gains.
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