@finik01
Polymarket refused to pay out winnings to users who bet on an invasion of Venezuela, stating that the kidnapping of the president is not considered the establishment of control over the territory
Formally - according to the market rules. In fact - many expected a different interpretation of the event, given the scale and consequences of what happened
The probability of such an outcome was clearly underestimated by the market before the event, and the decision after the fact caused a wave of discussions about how
@Polymarket
interprets political events
A fair decision on the rules or a dangerous precedent for future markets?
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