@farcasteradmin.eth

good $eggs'morning! with 57,800+ users of eggs.fun and 10% chance of failing an upgrade of a chicken to lvl 2 there's some theoretical stats i'd like to share with you upgrade randomness is independent for every upgrade attempt, so we can say that the chance of failure is 0.1 for every one upgrade but the chance of failure twice in a row is .1*.1=.01 or 1% or every 100th user will experience it (statistically) failing 3 times in a row happens for every 1000th user failing 4 times in a row happens for every 10,000th user yeah... theoretically we have 5 users that would fail the first upgrade 4 times in a row... statistics being statistics

5 replies

2 recasts

10 reactions