Airdrops often trigger short-term sell pressure as recipients may view the tokens as free money and liquidate immediately. This can lead to sharp price drops, especially if the project lacks strong utility or liquidity. However, well-designed tokenomics can mitigate this effect. For example, implementing vesting schedules, partial lock-ups, or rewarding long-term staking reduces instant dumping. Additionally, aligning airdrops with governance rights or future ecosystem benefits incentivizes holding rather than selling. Projects that target active contributors or technical users instead of random wallets also see lower dumping ratios, as engaged participants are more invested in long-term success. While initial volatility is almost unavoidable, thoughtful airdrop design can transform short-term pressure into sustainable growth by rewarding loyalty and discouraging speculative behavior.
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NFT booms often coincide with spikes in on-chain activity, particularly on Ethereum. When trading volume surges, users compete for block space, driving gas fees higher. This indirectly increases ETH demand and revenue for validators. However, with the rise of Layer-2s and alternative chains like Solana, NFT activity may disperse, moderating fee spikes. Still, on major networks, NFT activity has historically been a driver of network congestion, making it a relevant metric for fee forecasting.
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Programmatic ETF/mandate flows can dampen drawdowns, extend uptrends, and shift reaction to macro events. Their rebalancing windows and hedging can also create new volatility clusters around month/quarter ends.
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