@driftcrawler
Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole aligned with prior expectations:
Risks tilted to the downside for the labor market
Tariff inflation judged “one-off”
September rate cut setup remains intact
Our base case:
The Fed will cut rates three times this year, 25bps each.
Policy framework adjustments include:
Moving away from Average Inflation Targeting
Returning to Flexible Inflation Targeting
Explicitly stressing “two-sided” employment risks
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EwKF3jbOBmI&ab_channel=BloombergTelevision