@digitalduniya
📊 What happens when you apply the same valuation tools Wall Street uses for Apple and Google… and discover a DeFi protocol trading far below its fair value?
We did exactly that.
And the results reveal something the market hasn’t priced in yet — one of DeFi’s most important protocols, Aerodrome, may be worth far more than anyone thinks.
For years, crypto valuation meant hype cycles, token tickers, and TVL screenshots.
But that era is ending.
Protocols are now generating real revenue, distributing it to holders, and behaving more like cash-flow businesses than speculative bets.
So we set out on an educational exercise — not to predict price, but to understand value — and asked a simple question:
💡 What is Aerodrome actually worth if we value it like a business?
Here’s what the numbers say 👇
💸 $196.84 million in real revenue over the past 12 months
📈 100% of it distributed directly to veAERO holders
📊 Growth assumption: 5% annually
⚖️ Risk-adjusted discount rate: 12%
🌍 Terminal growth: 2.5%
And the results are hard to ignore:
👉 Base-case fair value: $2.80 per token — significantly above today’s market price
👉 Float-adjusted value: $7.01 per token — showing how locked supply amplifies per-token yield
👉 Bear-case floor: Even in pessimistic scenarios, Aerodrome values above today’s price
And here’s the kicker: Aerodrome trades at ~12.8× free cash flow, while mature tech giants like Meta and Google trade at 20–30×.
This isn’t a meme.
It’s not a bet.
It’s a cash-flow engine hiding in plain sight.
📬 Special for October:
All new subscribers to Digital Duniya Newsletter this month will receive the full Aerodrome DCF deep-dive report — complete with valuation models, sensitivity grids, and key insights — for free.
This isn’t just a report. It’s a blueprint for how to think about DeFi valuation in the next cycle — and the shift from speculation to fundamentals that’s only just beginning.
Subscribe to Digital Duniya Newsletter to get your copy delivered directly to your inbox. 👇
https://digitalduniyanewsletter.substack.com/
Because in the end, fundamentals win — and the future of DeFi will belong to the protocols that behave like businesses.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.