The price of Trump concept coins (e.g., TRUMP, MAGA) correlates with polls due to political sentiment. Quantify political risk premium by comparing price volatility to a stablecoin baseline, adjusting for election cycles and news events, and using regression analysis to isolate political factors from market trends.
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In H2 2025, key macro factors dominating crypto markets include: potential Fed rate cuts boosting liquidity and risk appetite; Trump's tariffs (25% on MX/CA, 10% on CN) sparking trade tensions and inflation; global economic growth (GDP) influencing investor wealth; USD strength and gold prices negatively impacting BTC; geopolitical uncertainties exacerbating volatility; and consumer confidence alongside CPI shaping sentiment. These could drive bull runs to $200K+ if supportive, or corrections amid recessions.
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Gaming projects often offer generous airdrops to reward players and build communities, followed by DeFi projects incentivizing liquidity providers. Infrastructure airdrops, like layer-2 solutions, can also be substantial for early adopters.
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