Darreny (darreny)

Collecting moments, not things. 🌍

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I just collected "Farcaster: Lion"

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BTC’s 2025 halving effect: Already priced in? Historically, Bitcoin halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) triggered bullish cycles, but with different timing: Pre-halving rallies: BTC often sees price appreciation months before halving, driven by anticipation. Post-halving surges: The strongest gains typically occur 6-12 months after, as supply reduction impacts circulation. Comparing 2025 vs. Past Cycles ✅ Similarities: Early price appreciation suggests front-running by institutional and retail investors. Macro factors (inflation, rate policies) influence investor sentiment, like in previous cycles. ❌ Differences: More mature market: Increased institutional adoption may smooth out volatility. Derivatives growth: Futures and ETFs could affect price dynamics, reducing extreme post-halving spikes. Conclusion While some effects are priced in, historical patterns suggest the strongest impact may still come post-halving, especially if demand outpaces the reduced supply.

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No matter how slow you go, as long as you don’t stop, you’re still moving forward. Keep going!🙂

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