| Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
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Stay away from the charts. Please protect your mental health.
Manipulation starts when U.S. Stock market opens. They don’t even hide it anymore.
GUESS WHO’S BACK? Kalshi now assigns a 43% probability of a U.S. government shutdown on January 31, 2026, the highest level since the 2025 crisis. Goldman Sachs estimates a 40–50% risk, while JPMorgan puts the odds at 20–40% for a lapse in early 2026. Both firms say a short shutdown would have only a modest GDP impact of 0.1–0.2% per week, mostly recovered later. However, a longer standoff could be more damaging amid disputes over ACA funding and federal spending.