@cxhgdfherjh
In 2016 and 2020, Bitcoin rallied 3-6 months post-halving, but pre-halving patterns varied:
2016: Flat 6 months pre-halving, then +200% in 6 months.
2020: Dropped 38% pre-halving due to COVID, then surged 500% post-halving.
Current markets differ (e.g., ETF inflows, institutional adoption), but historical cycles suggest a pre-halving rally is plausible if macro conditions align (e.g., Fed rate cuts). However, over-leverage or regulatory shocks could delay it.
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction