@cr1mean.eth
gPoly!
There's been a lot of talk about the Lighter TGE, rumors, and speculation, with most people confident that the TGE will be in 2025.
I personally view this @polymarket market from the "NO" perspective, and here's why:
> They've launched spot trading, but are still in the process of adding trading pairs.
> They're clearly copying Hyperliquid's roadmap in some ways and plan to launch the meme-token first to warm up the audience.
> There are three weeks left until the end of 2025, which is a short time to prepare a high-quality TGE and all the documentation.
> Good risk reward of 1:3 on "NO".
I entered the "NO" market with an FDV >2B, because:
> a slight price difference from 1B, and if they do release in 2025, there's a chance the FDV will be lower than 2B.
> If they don't release in 2025, the FDV market will end as NO.
Of course, no one knows the team's exact plans, hence the small size, and DYOR
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