@coinvalute
January 2026 is a "recovery and observation period". BTC is shaking off the gloom of 2025 and attempting to challenge the $100,000 mark.
• Short-term forecast (Q1): The market is likely to fluctuate within a range between $85,000 and $100,000.
• Key observation points: 1. The political game surrounding the selection of the Fed successor.
2. Whether a break above the $100,000 mark is accompanied by increased trading volume.
3. The impact of geopolitical conflicts on energy prices (miner costs).
Risk warnings:
• Downside risk: If the key support level of $85,000 is broken, it may fall back to $77,000 or even lower.
• Policy risk: Stricter tax compliance and exchange regulation may lead to a short-term tightening of liquidity.
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