Ambassador (cmrdil21900)

Key Factors Shaping My View on BTC 1. Scarcity (Post-Halving) Bitcoin’s latest halving (in 2024) reduced the rate of new BTC issuance, which tightens supply. On-chain data suggests a large portion of BTC hasn’t moved in a long time — accumulation from long-term holders is quite strong. Some valuation models (like the Stock-to-Flow) continue to point to very high potential peaks in future cycles. 2. Institutional Demand There is increasing institutional adoption: spot Bitcoin ETFs, corporate treasuries (companies holding BTC), and potentially sovereign reserve backing. This demand could soak up a lot of BTC supply, especially if long-term holders don’t sell much. On-chain metrics show a shrinking float. According to some forecasts, institutional inflows may intensify in the coming years, which could reinforce a structural bull case. 3. Macro Conditions Global liquidity is a key driver: if central banks continue to print or maintain loose monetary policy, that could favor assistanc

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