Stablecoin outflows from exchanges have dropped sharply. Over the past month, outflows totaled just $2B, compared to $8.4B at the start of the 2025 bear market. CryptoQuant: capital isn’t leaving crypto — it’s concentrating, especially on Binance. Binance now holds $47.5B in $USDT and $USDC, representing 65% of all stablecoin reserves on CEXs. USDT alone accounts for more than $42B. Mixed signal: ✔️ Capital isn’t exiting the market. ⚠️ Bitcoin could still drop toward the $55,000 zone, seen as major support. In short: capital is sitting on the sidelines, not fleeing. The next move depends on where liquidity gets deployed.
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Bitcoin is on track to post its weakest first quarter in the past 8 years. Since the start of the year, it’s down roughly 22%. It rallied to around $87,700, then dropped toward $68,000. The worst Q1 remains 2018, when Bitcoin fell nearly 50%. Historically, Bitcoin has had negative Q1s before — but later recovered. There’s also a chance this could be the first time both January and February close in the red in the same year. Some argue this is a normal correction, not a structural problem. In the past, volatile Q1 periods haven’t always dictated the direction for the rest of the year.
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🇳🇱 The Netherlands is proposing a 36% tax on unrealized gains (stocks, ETFs, savings, crypto). If you invest €100K and it grows to €140K, you would pay tax on the €40K profit — even if you don’t sell anything. After the tax-free threshold, the tax would be around ~€13,752. If the market then drops, you don’t get that money back. Losses can be carried forward, but taxes already paid remain paid. Major risk: forced selling just to cover taxes on “paper” profits. The law still needs Senate approval. If passed, it would take effect on January 1, 2028.
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