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Markets cheered tentative US-China progress as Trump rolled back some tariffs, with a deal nearing approval. But optimism stayed muted as the US vowed not to share top-tier chips, highlighting supply chain splits. Geopolitical tensions flared with US diplomats leaving the Middle East amid Iran-Israel strike fears, spiking oil prices 7-9%. Bets on Brainard replacing Powell as Fed chair faded after she pledged to stay at Treasury. Trump pushed for a "full 100bps cut" post-soft CPI, citing
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