Post-Oct 10, 2025 flash crash (BTC $126K→$102K on Trump tariffs, $19B liquidations), the Fear & Greed Index plunged from 64 (Greed) to 24 (Extreme Fear) in 24 hrs—the lowest since Apr 2025—per Alternative.me & CoinMarketCap data. By Oct 13, it stabilized at ~40 (Fear), signaling initial recovery as prices rebounded to $114K. Historical parallels (e.g., Apr 2025 low → 30% rally in weeks) suggest sentiment repair in 2-4 weeks, driven by deleveraging & ETF inflows. Watch for >50 (Neutral) as buy signal.
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As of Sep 21, 2025, the crypto market is in the mid-to-late bull phase: BTC at ~$116K (post-$109K ATH), with altseason signals (BTC dom 57%) & $40B+ ETF inflows driving TOTAL3 to $2.3T. Onchain metrics show waning momentum (late maturity), but Fed cuts & liquidity rebound suggest Q4 peak at $150K+ BTC, not end yet—watch $100K support.
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In 2025, Hong Kong advances as a crypto hub via the LEAP Framework, enacting the Stablecoins Ordinance in May (effective later) for licensed issuers with 1:1 reserves and audits; approving spot BTC/ETH ETFs; and expanding VATP licenses to 10+. HKMA's Fintech 2025 Strategy boosts blockchain interoperability and tokenization sandboxes. Singapore enforces stricter FSMA amendments, mandating licenses for all exchanges (local/overseas), closing access loopholes; limits retail trading/advertising; and uses DeFi sandboxes.
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