@buna
The main reason why traders still don't believe that Avengers: Doomsday can become the highest-grossing movie of 2026:
- The Russo Brothers' film releases worldwide on December 18 and has only about 2 weeks to beat the records
Alright, let's look at the top films by box office in the first 2 weeks after release.
According to forecasts from publications and analysts:
Spider-Man 4: $1.3 bil
The Super Mario 2: $1.2 bil
Avengers would need to collect around $1.3 billion in just 2 weeks to compete with them.
this is entirely possible because:
- Scale of the films: a massive crossover with dozens of superstars vs solo movies.
- Nostalgia and hype: RDJ returning as the villain / the arrival of the X-MEN + Deadpool
- Holiday release slot: December is ideal for long-running box office legs.
- Marvel's biggest bet: Doomsday is the clear favorite to save the MCU.
And this single timing issue - giving it only about 18% chance of winning on Polymarket - creates a great opportunity for us.
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