@bitcoinstock-to
Some thoughts on this:
1. BTC needs to break ATH for alts to follow:
Historical data shows BTC outperforming altcoins ~54-58% at current levels (105-107k, 16% below ATH).
We should delay aggressive altcoin positioning until BTC shows stronger upward momentum.
2. Sell the altcoin rallies:
Altcoin gains are concentrated in sectors like DePIN (+22%) and Layer 2s (+13%), with fragile rallies in coins like FIL lacking follow-through.
Positioning should focus on selective blue-chip names (e.g., HYPE, ENA) rather than broad exposure.
3. Macro and regulatory catalysts as triggers:
Upcoming U.S. regulatory headlines and fiscal stimuli (e.g., Trump’s $2k "stimi") could drive altcoin volatility, though current macro support hasn’t yet rotated capital into altcoins. Remain cautious and wait for clearer catalysts for improved positioning.
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