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The probability of MetaMask wallet airdropping tokens is relatively high. Here is a detailed analysis: • Strong indications from official actions: ConsenSys CEO has announced the upcoming launch of MetaMask tokens. In addition, MetaMask has registered a domain related to token claims, which is a key step before most airdrops go live. This kind of domain activity often precedes the testing of claim pages, whitelist validation, or snapshot integrations. Moreover, the recently launched MetaMask Rewards program further suggests that the team is preparing for the distribution of tokens. • High market expectations: According to prediction data from Polymarket, the probability of a MetaMask token launch in 2025 once surged from 18% to as high as 47%, and currently stabilizes around 32%. This shows that the market has a relatively high expectation for the MetaMask token launch. As for whether it is worth participating in the current points activity, the following factors need to be considered: • Lucrative airdrop potential: It is estimated that if 20% of the tokens are airdropped to users, the total value may break through $2.4 billion. Although the per capita allocation may be relatively diluted due to the large user base, the potential return is still considerable. For example, if a user is very active and accumulates a large number of points, he may get a relatively large - scale airdrop. • Diverse ways to earn points: In the MetaMask Rewards activity, users can earn points through various activities. For token exchanges, every $800 of trading can get 10 points, and using the Linea network for trading will get a double - points bonus, combined with a 1.5 - times bonus for mobile - end exchanges, up to 3 - times points can be obtained. In addition, for every $100 of perpetual contract trading, 10 points can be obtained, and by inviting friends, the inviter can get 10 points for every 50 points obtained by the invited user. What's more, MetaMask will provide retroactive rewards for historical trading activities before October 15, with a maximum of 50,000 points available per address. • Multiple levels of rewards: The activity sets up a user - level mechanism, and users can unlock corresponding rewards by accumulating points. For example, reaching the Frontier level (more than 1,000 points) can obtain Linea token allocation; reaching the Oceania level (more than 50,000 points) can enjoy a 50% discount on perpetual contract trading fees; reaching the Utopia level (more than 5,000,000 points) can get a free MetaMask metal card for one year, etc. • Certain risks involved: MetaMask has a large user base of 143 million users, which may lead to a relatively small per - capita airdrop amount. In addition, ConsenSys previously had technical failures, vague token uses, and unfair distribution problems when launching Linea, and there is a risk of similar mistakes repeating in the MetaMask token launch. At the same time, participating in the points activity requires users to conduct a certain amount of trading, which also brings market risks. If the market price fluctuates sharply, users may suffer losses.

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