Nhà đầu tư crypto dài hạn | Phân tích vĩ mô & chu kỳ thị trường
28 Followers
SP500, Dow, Russell 2000 are all printing new ATHs. Clear blue skies. The only one lagging is Nasdaq. Meanwhile, BTC and alts are still suppressed, held down by whales sitting on massive supply. The Oct 10 event did real damage to crypto, but no one talks about it anymore. Boxed up. Buried. Forgotten. I don’t think it’s over. When Nasdaq finally makes new ATHs, Chinese stocks start ripping, and gold enters profit-taking / consolidation… That’s when altcoins could get *really* dirty. Watch the correlations. Timing matters.
BTC price looks stable, moving in a tight range. $90K is the first checkpoint before the next real move. Weekend price action (Sat–Sun) is often just noise or fake moves. Direction usually becomes clearer late Sunday into the night. But behind the scenes, a few important things are happening: 1. New money inflows are slowing 2. Long-term holders are starting to sell at a loss — not panic, just time fatigue 3. Price isn’t dumping, but it’s not pushing higher either Extended sideways is mentally worse than a fast crash. Short term is boring and draining. Mid–long term, this is a key phase before market structure turns healthy again.
Altseason is a liquidity game. That’s it. When liquidity comes back, money flows into risk-on assets like crypto. We saw it in 2021. And the same setup is forming again. 2026 looks like the start of a new liquidity cycle for altcoins 👁️
BTC is flashing a clear divergence. CVD is moving down while Funding and OI are rising. We closed most of our short near ~$91.4k and are still holding half. This is a caution zone. After yesterday’s drop, sellers are showing up again. Funding was negative before (short-heavy), but now longs are stacking fast — visible in OI + funding. Volume is also diverging. If volume continues to fade, this setup can get dangerous and opens risk of a sharp move down. Stay alert here.