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World Bank Ups China 2025 Growth Forecast to 4.9%
The World Bank raised its 2025 growth forecast for China to 4.9%, up from 4.5% in June, driven by accommodative fiscal and monetary policies boosting domestic consumption and investment. Exports remained strong due to demand from developing countries and stable global trade, aligning with China's year-to-date GDP growth of 5.2% through Q3 2025.
The IMF echoed the optimism, lifting its projection to 5.0% amid policy measures and reduced US-China tariffs. However, the property sector poses key risks, with cautious households facing soft labor markets and falling home prices.
World Bank officials stress structural reforms for social protection and business predictability to ensure sustainable growth amid balanced risks.
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